Bank of Japan: The index of small non-manufacturers rose for the second consecutive quarter, reaching the highest level since August 1991.Soochow securities: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December. According to the soochow securities Research Report, the CPI of the United States rebounded to +2.75% in November as scheduled, and the CPI that did not exceed expectations cleared the last obstacle for the Fed to cut interest rates in December. In the short term, the combination of low base and high viscosity means that CPI is expected to continue to rebound to +2.8% in December. In the medium term, Trump is expected to drive out illegal immigrants on the first day after taking office, which will aggravate the risk of stagflation in the labor market. However, the intensification of wage inflation stickiness may be concealed by the downward movement of non-agricultural centers in the same period, the expectation of increasing oil prices and the high base in the first half of 2025. The market's concern about "stagnation" may provide room for the Fed to cut interest rates smoothly in the first half of 2025. However, in the second half of 2025, the cumulative interest rate cuts will give support to the economy, the persistence of inflation stickiness and the landing of Trump's tax reduction policy will force the Fed to cut interest rates. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December, 25bps in March and June next year, and stop cutting interest rates in the second half of the year. The end point of the policy interest rate in 2025 is [3.75,4.0]%.Senior Advisor of Shi Pomao: Japan must be prepared for Trump tariffs. One of Japan's top security officials said that Japan needs to be prepared for the threat of US President-elect Trump to impose tariffs on Canada and Mexico, and adjust the supply chain to reduce the collateral damage to Japanese enterprises. Akihisa Nagashima, national security adviser to Japanese Prime Minister Shi Pomao, said that during his recent visit to the United States, he had a "frank" communication with Trump team members on tariff issues. "I realized that Japan must be ready for Trump to implement his plan," he said.
The restricted shares with a market value of 644 million yuan were lifted today. Xishan Technology, Betray and Wanda Bearing were among the top companies in terms of market value. On Friday (December 13th), the restricted shares of eight companies were lifted, with a total lifting amount of 20,925,400 shares. According to the latest closing price, the total lifting market value was 644 million yuan. Judging from the amount of lifting the ban, Betray, Xishan Technology and Nanwang Technology were among the top, with 9,834,300 shares, 3,706,800 shares and 3,247,500 shares respectively. Judging from the market value of lifting the ban, the number of shares lifted by 0 companies exceeded 100 million yuan. Xishan Technology, Betray and Wanda Bearing are among the top companies in terms of market value, with market values of 246 million yuan, 229 million yuan and 76.73 million yuan respectively. From the perspective of the proportion of shares released from the ban to the total share capital, Xishan Technology, Wanda Bearing and Nanwang Technology are among the top, with 7.47%, 3.08% and 1.66% respectively.CITIC Jiantou: The Matthew effect of the property insurance industry is expected to be further highlighted. CITIC Jiantou said that the State Financial Supervision and Administration Bureau recently issued the Action Plan on Strengthening Supervision, Preventing Risks, Promoting Reform and Promoting the High-quality Development of the Property Insurance Industry. In terms of comprehensive supervision and strict supervision, the Action Plan proposes to improve the quality and effectiveness of property insurance supervision from strengthening market access and exit supervision, promoting hierarchical and classified supervision, strictly rectifying illegal activities, and improving prudential supervision system and rules. In terms of effectively preventing and resolving risks, the Action Plan proposes to enhance the ability of risk prevention and resolution of the property insurance industry by enhancing the ability of capital replenishment and improving the monitoring and early warning system, and proposes to encourage mergers and acquisitions of property insurance companies. Deepen reform and promote opening up, and propose to guide property insurance institutions to position their development, accelerate business transformation and upgrading, enhance risk management capabilities, and promote high-level opening up. On the whole, the Action Plan will help to prevent and resolve risks in the property insurance industry, lay a foundation and provide guidance for the high-quality development of the industry, and the Matthew effect of the industry is expected to be further highlighted.The "unlimited price" for a single plot of high-quality land in Beijing has gradually started. After only half a month, Beijing once again auctioned a single plot of land exceeding 10 billion yuan. On December 12, the Wanquan Temple plot outside the southwest second ring road of Fengtai, Beijing was acquired by Zhonghai for 11.054 billion yuan. So far, the total number of land auctions in Beijing has reached 40 this year, and the total amount of land transfer fees has exceeded 150 billion yuan. It is worth mentioning that the future commercial housing sales of this plot are not limited. The industry unanimously believes that the cancellation of the double limit of land price and house price shows that the one with the highest price is becoming a new trend of high-quality land auction in Beijing, and on the other hand, it is a powerful performance of returning the property market to the market. (beijing business today)
Morgan Stanley called concerns about South Korean financial stocks "excessive". Morgan Stanley said that recent political developments have hit South Korean financial stocks particularly hard because people are worried that reform efforts may be delayed and the risk of tightening supervision.Onlikon: Compound α-keto acid tablets are planned to be selected for the tenth batch of national centralized drug procurement. Onlikon announced on December 13, and on December 12, the company participated in the bidding for the tenth batch of national centralized drug procurement organized by the National Drug Joint Procurement Office. After the bid opening and evaluation by the Joint Procurement Office, the company plans to select this centralized drug procurement. The indication of that medicine is to prevent and treat the damage caused by metabolic disorder in protein due to chronic renal insufficiency. The drug is a national medical insurance catalogue product, with an annual sales of 218,900 yuan in 2023, accounting for 0.01% of the company's annual operating income in 2023.Meta released a new AI tool, which can enhance the experience of the Meta-universe. On Thursday, the American technology giant Meta said that it would release an artificial intelligence model called Meta Motivo, which can control the actions of a digital agent similar to human beings and may enhance the experience of the meta-universe. According to the company, Meta Motivo solves the common body control problems in digital avatars, enabling them to exercise in a more realistic and human-like way. "We believe that this research can pave the way for a fully concrete agent in the meta-universe, resulting in a more realistic NPC (non-player character), democratization of character animation, and a new immersive experience."
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-14